Forecast: The Next Decade of Video Technology

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Over the next ten years, new video technologies will reshape the way we communicate, create, and document our lives. Anticipating, considering and understanding this technology foundation is an essential part of imagining the cultural transformation that is to come. Here's what's on the horizon:

  • Everyone with a mobile phone will have access to high quality video recording and distribution technology.
  • Video editing will be as widespread and accessible as word processing is today.
  • Channels will be effectively infinite, as viewers select from a broad spectrum of content from around the world, ranging from the personal to the professional.
  • Pervasive, ubiquitous, and ambient displays for viewing video will flood our environments.
  • Visual display resolutions will move from high definition to very high definition resolution video.
  • Separate web and video platforms will become integrated, including both video within web pages and clickable web objects and hyperlinks within video streams.
  • Linear, passive video will become branching, hyperlinked interactive video.
  • Flat, 2D video will become stereo 3D video, viewed with glasses, then move into immersive viewpoint independent 3D video.
  • Synthetic CG video (computer graphic), will complement and increasingly replace camera captured video.
  • 2D camera captured video will be supplanted by sensor array captured 3D video.

Questions To Think About When You Reply:

  • What specific new software and hardware technologies do you see on the video horizon and what will be their impacts on society?
  • How much of the new video technologies available will be proprietary?
  • How much will be free and open?
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